BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
New Mexico State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
New Mexico State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.46 |
28.32 (+1.86) |
17.60 |
8.11 (-9.49) |
15.69 (+7.58) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
409.92 |
362.90 (-47.03) |
273.00 |
272.83 (-0.17) |
306.60 (+33.78) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.82 |
6.35 (-0.46) |
4.36 |
4.42 (+0.06) |
5.15 (+0.72) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.85 |
22.98 (+1.13) |
42.60 |
40.36 (-2.24) |
33.84 (-6.52) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
392.08 |
425.50 (+33.43) |
498.00 |
543.75 (+45.75) |
499.41 (-44.34) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.06 |
6.37 (+0.32) |
7.08 |
8.03 (+0.95) |
7.41 (-0.62) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Southeast Missouri State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 23-16 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Liberty |
17.14 |
35.07 |
+17.93 |
52.21 |
21.24% |
L 24-30 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 |
@Fresno State |
14.26 |
29.80 |
+15.54 |
44.06 |
25.08% |
L 0-48 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Sam Houston |
19.34 |
44.03 |
+24.70 |
63.37 |
10.39% |
L 11-31 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-29 |
New Mexico |
35.71 |
40.97 |
+5.26 |
76.68 |
41.56% |
L 40-50 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-09 |
@Jacksonville State |
21.46 |
42.21 |
+20.75 |
63.67 |
16.72% |
L 13-54 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-16 |
Louisiana Tech |
23.39 |
25.72 |
+2.33 |
49.11 |
46.26% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-29 |
@Florida International |
18.10 |
32.70 |
+14.60 |
50.80 |
26.58% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Western Kentucky |
20.90 |
33.23 |
+12.33 |
54.12 |
30.22% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-17 |
@Texas A&M |
6.47 |
48.59 |
+42.12 |
55.06 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Middle Tennessee |
25.77 |
27.86 |
+2.09 |
53.62 |
46.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
UTEP |
24.32 |
20.65 |
-3.66 |
44.97 |
55.88% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 1-11 |
6.48% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 2-10 |
24.66% |
6.48% |
93.52% |
| 3-9 |
35.59% |
31.14% |
68.86% |
| 4-8 |
24.41% |
66.72% |
33.28% |
| 5-7 |
7.91% |
91.14% |
8.86% |
| 6-6 |
0.95% |
99.05% |
0.95% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
1.69% |
| 2-10 |
9.14% |
| 3-9 |
21.13% |
| 4-8 |
27.66% |
| 5-7 |
22.77% |
| 6-6 |
12.19% |
| 7-5 |
4.34% |
| 8-4 |
0.97% |
| 9-3 |
0.11% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |