BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
New Mexico State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
New Mexico State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.46 |
28.32 (+1.86) |
18.33 |
16.65 (-1.68) |
16.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
409.92 |
362.90 (-47.03) |
294.33 |
285.48 (-8.85) |
285.48 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.82 |
6.35 (-0.46) |
4.52 |
4.49 (-0.04) |
4.49 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.85 |
22.98 (+1.13) |
39.56 |
39.57 (+0.02) |
39.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
392.08 |
425.50 (+33.43) |
472.00 |
485.80 (+13.80) |
485.80 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.06 |
6.37 (+0.32) |
6.70 |
6.92 (+0.22) |
6.92 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Southeast Missouri State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 23-16 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Liberty |
18.04 |
29.82 |
+11.78 |
47.86 |
31.11% |
L 24-30 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 |
@Fresno State |
16.00 |
36.99 |
+21.00 |
52.99 |
16.32% |
L 0-48 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Sam Houston |
13.80 |
33.25 |
+19.45 |
47.06 |
18.80% |
L 11-31 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-29 |
New Mexico |
32.74 |
46.07 |
+13.33 |
78.82 |
28.62% |
L 40-50 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-09 |
@Jacksonville State |
22.89 |
49.72 |
+26.84 |
72.61 |
6.96% |
L 13-54 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-16 |
Louisiana Tech |
16.88 |
24.59 |
+7.71 |
41.47 |
37.63% |
W 33-30 |
2-5 |
| 2024-10-29 |
@Florida International |
15.19 |
33.06 |
+17.87 |
48.25 |
21.33% |
L 13-34 |
2-6 |
| 2024-11-09 |
Western Kentucky |
19.44 |
37.66 |
+18.22 |
57.10 |
20.78% |
L 28-41 |
2-7 |
| 2024-11-17 |
@Texas A&M |
10.99 |
47.59 |
+36.60 |
58.58 |
0.10% |
L 3-38 |
2-8 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Middle Tennessee |
23.25 |
27.02 |
+3.76 |
50.27 |
43.96% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
UTEP |
25.88 |
28.61 |
+2.73 |
54.50 |
45.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
30.67% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
49.36% |
30.67% |
69.33% |
| 4-8 |
19.97% |
80.03% |
19.97% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
3.72% |
| 2-10 |
15.27% |
| 3-9 |
26.95% |
| 4-8 |
26.98% |
| 5-7 |
17.33% |
| 6-6 |
7.34% |
| 7-5 |
1.98% |
| 8-4 |
0.39% |
| 9-3 |
0.04% |
| 10-2 |
0.00% |